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Technical analysis and the mastery of it is a long continuous journey, enjoy the time you spend on your journey to a more profitable you.
- John Novak | |
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Today's Featured Article

Common Fibonacci Ratios and Their Qualities
Many traders today use Fibonacci in their trading. Most of the time this will consist of retracement levels from major swing and more advanced traders will use extensions of past swings into the future. Some common Fibonacci ratios that traders will use are 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%, 138.2%, 161.8%, 200% and 261.8%. Fibonacci ratios will have a more "exhaustive" quality the larger they get. For example, a 78.6% retracement will have more chance of stopping a move than a 38.2% retracement will. This is true for extensions as well; a 261.8% extension will have more chance of stopping a market than a 138.2% extension.
In addition to the higher exhaustive quality of the higher Fibonacci ratios, in most cases the higher the timeframe the Fibonacci ratio was generated from the greater the chance it will have an influence on the market. Knowing this information you are able to give more credence to higher Fibonacci ratios and from ratios from higher timeframes when doing manual analysis.
This take an even more powerful turn when you are able to find and apply Fibonacci ratios from multiple timeframes and multiple swings that land into a relatively small zone on your charts. The amount of work necessary to do a complete analysis of every possible Fibonacci line from every swing on every timeframe makes it nearly impossible for anyone to achieve consistent results. Those who have learned how to master this art and who are only able to use the "right" ratios from the "right" swings are able to consistently able to call tops and bottoms using Fibonacci.
How to Set Up Your Fibonacci Tool
The following is how to manually set up the tool in Tradestation or any other platform your using such as MultiCharts or Esignal. First you will need to select the tool from the drawing menu.
Then you must format your Fibonacci tool in your platform to have the ratios that you wish to use in your analysis of the market. Go here to see a typical setup using the most common ratios. You may change colors and lines to your personal preferences. The Fibonacci tool is then applied to the charts by dragging and dropping the tool from your starting and ending pivots that you wish to analyze. | |
Fibonacci Projections and Retracements Defined
There are 4 main Fibonacci projections that we use in our software:
1. Extensions - take the range from pivot #1 to pivot #2 multiply that distance by a Fibonacci number, add the two numbers together and it will give projections into the future where a possible turning point could be.

If you cannot view the Extensions chart,
go here.
2. Expansions - take the range from pivot #2 to pivot #3 multiply that distance by a Fibonacci number, add the two numbers together and it will give projections into the future where a possible turning point could be.

If you cannot view the Expansions chart,
go here.
3. Alternates - take the range from pivot #1 to pivot #2 multiply that distance by a Fibonacci number, add that to Pivot #3 and it will give projections into the future where a possible turning point could be.

If you cannot view the Alternate chart,
go here.
4. Retracements - take the distance from a #1 pivot to the #2 pivot and take a portion of that range that is commonly less than 100%. The most common ratios are 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6%. This is usually more beneficial from higher timeframes when determining reversal areas.

If you cannot view the Retracements chart,
go here.
Now we are going to use this setup to define a multiple timeframe key Fibonacci confluence area that we can make trading decisions based on our knowledge.
If you look at the following chart of the S&P 500 minis the overall trend is down.
Go here to view the example chart.
Once we make a bottom and the short-term trend turns back to up by making higher lows we want to know where this pullback may stop and where we can resume the longer-term downtrend again.
This is a blowup of the chart above... as you can see we have labeled some of the swings for you as 1-2-3. Once we have put in the GREEN #3 pivot we have short-term trend up and we are working to anticipate where the trend will end. Once we have the smaller swings of the BLUE 1-2-3 we now have enough information to start our Fibonacci analysis.
Go here to view the example chart.
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About the Author

John Novak
is President of Nexgen Software Services Inc. John is the developer of the T-3 Fibs ProTrader indicator package. He has been involved in the marketing and distribution of Technical analysis software for the last 13 years. He has devoted the last 10 years to the automation of a popular discretionary methodology that he taught in seminars for over 2 years to many successful traders that was centered on Fibonacci analysis of both time and price. With the help of his software programmers they have automated this entire Fibonacci process into a fully automatic program. He spends his days working on constant improvements in his analysis in predictive indicators for traders and spends
the day trading his own methods. | |
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